Toast

Josh Marshall has this hint that smart (or maybe not so smart) money thinks it's all over for WHW Miers' Supreme Court chances. It seems there is an online market in the chances of various political occurences and:
Miers confirmation contract drops in heavy morning trading

At approximately 8:30 EST this morning traders monitoring the Harriet Miers confirmation process becan selling aggressively contracts betting against her confirmation - probability drops from 62 to 20 in heavy trading.


"The Miers confirmation contract was trading at 92, meaning a 92% probability of confirmation last week. Early this week the contract slid to 64 then this morning with no warning droped to 20 in heavy trading", says Mike Knesevitch Communication Director at Intrade.


He also has some hints at possibly corrupt deeds involving Miers
here and here

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